In markets, nothing is guaranteed but over the period you can find some patterns and based on your experience you can see if that is repeated somewhere else. This is what price action about. Finding some patterns and watch them working, pick the abstract idea from there and apply elsewhere and expect it to work in similar fashion.
Today, we are going to talk about two stocks which have some electrical connection.
Stock 1 : Polycab CMP 942 MCap 14000 Cr
Company has been into business of wires and cables traditionally and promoters have a inspiring story of starting with a shop selling cables to have an empire manufacturing and selling it in many countries. But we do not get excited about the wires and cables as such. The story here is company is foraying into fast moving electrical goods (FMEG) which is sticky, high margin, low ticket, essential item, brand pull like fans, switches, lightings, water heaters, coolers, irons etc.
Very minimal debt, growing fast in FMEG space but currently not very high margin but margins are improving. Company is having good ROCE and already business is doing better than pre covid era. So yes things are getting better and now much better.
Let’s see the chart –
Company got listed in Apr 2019 and things were not really great for it technically as you can see in the chart but in Sep 2019 stock gapped up and did some pull back. This gap up took the stock above listing price and it just changed the things for it. Suddenly all those people who have been in loss who bought when it was listed are now in profits and with such a steep jump people do not like to get out early. Result? reduced selling pressure and stock crossing its previous high will invite the traders to build long positions increasing the buying pressure.
What happens when selling pressure reduces and buying pressure increases? That’s right. Stock jumps and start running. You can see from Oct 2019 at 660, stock did 1160 in Feb 2020 and corona sell off took it down. Post corona stock recovered quickly to 780 level but then sold off again to 640 levels from where earlier in Sep 2019 it took off. Once it crossed 780 again since then stock has respected that level and but did not do much either. Sell off in late Sep 2020 and Oct 2020 meant beating down for stock but it has respected 780 level well in both occasions.
Now earnings came out good and stock gapped up, stock well above 200 SMA and 50 SMA is above 200 SMA. As you can see by sky blue horizontal line stock broke out and then took support near 900 area.
And one of our BNP Pro members signaled towards it earlier few days ago –
Stock 2 : Elantas Beck CMP 2438 MCap 1900 Cr
We posted this chart earlier in telegram today to make a case for this –
Stock is doing classic 45° move since 2013 which is a long time although not as much as Asian Paints.
Now let’s zoom in the chart –
As you can see after the corona crash stock has been trading in a tight band of 2090 – 2450. Company came out with great earnings and that is why you see a big green candle a day ago. Problem is that came with not so much volume so stock may end up testing the patience. Also, stock is thinly traded very low volume. In such stocks once things get going there is good run. 50 SMA is above 200 SMA and stock is right on 50 SMA.
Company posted EPS of ₹26.69 vs ₹17.96
Expect the EPS to cross 100 within a year. Specialty chemical company, an MNC.
Focused on electrical insulation and construction industry. A beneficiary of of Atmanirbhar bharat theme if things in electrical appliances/electronic devices will be made more and more in India. No debt. 75% promoters holding. Historically avg PE of 27 in last 10 years.
Stock is making all the right moves technically(there is scope for improvement though) and fundamentally. Stock can be looked at with SL of 2102. Both these stocks have all the traits to be part of core portfolio but that does not stop us from trading into them for quick returns.
Please do your due diligence before acting on anything shared here and consult your financial adviser. Let us know your thoughts on these two ideas in the comment section.
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